Tuesday, May 19, 2009

GOP Reduced to Churchgoers, Conservatives, and Elderly Over 65

Talking Points Memo dissects the results of a new Gallup poll that reveal bad demographic news for the GOP:

Compared to 2001, when George W. Bush first took office as president, GOP self-identification has fallen by ten points among college graduates, nine points among those 18-29 years of age, nine points in the Midwest, six in the East, five in the West, and even four points in the South. Married people identifying as Republicans have decreased by five points, and the difference is eight points among the unmarried. The list goes on and on.

In 2001, voters were 33% Democratic, 32% Republican, and 34% independent, with a Republican edge of 47%-46% after leaners were pushed. But now, it's 36% Democrats, 27% Republicans and 37% independents, with a huge Democratic advantage of 52%-37% with leaners.

The only bright spots for the GOP are three base groups: Frequent churchgoers, with no decrease at all; conservatives, with only a one-point decrease; and voters 65 years of age or older, with a one-point decrease. It should also be noted that they've only gone down one point among non-whites -- but this is because they didn't have much party identification there to begin with.

Despite these numbers, Michael Steele, chairman of the RNC, would have you believe that they’re back, they’re stronger than ever, and they’re looking forward with loads of new ideas!  As Journey once said, “Don’t Stop Believin’!”

1 comment:

  1. It's still so close. I mean is it really that significant of a difference?